Verification Of Assumptions: How Should A Startup Founder Go About It?

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Entrepreneurship

Setting up a new company is the most challenging and unpredictable endeavor a startup founder can undertake. This is because it is naturally uncertain and possesses a strong possibility of failure. 

Even if you’re certain you’ve found your sector, you’ll face challenges along the way to success. This is why, when starting a business, one should pay close attention to business assumptions.

What Are Business Assumptions?

Business assumptions and dependencies are aspects that need to be accurate to achieve results. 

In strategic business planning, assumptions are defined as the exposure of unpredictability. In business, there is a lot of ambiguity. As a result, in order to move forward with a strategic approach, one must always make assumptions.

Categorizing assumptions helps determine uncertainty and risks in a business and remove them.

Why Are Business Assumptions Important For Growth?

Identifying key business assumptions is important for strategic planning and the proposed business plan. Preparing is about implementing change. This comes at a breakneck pace. 

Assumptions fix the separation of maintaining uniformity and consistency. They help avoid hitting your head into a brick wall. 

In some cases, brainstorming assumptions might lead to fresh ideas. These assumptions will assist you in locating funders, obtaining loans, and running a profitable firm.

3 Key Business Assumptions That Startup Founders Make

Assumptions are present in every business model. It’s impossible to say that only a certain method will make your business successful. Or that you will be eligible to pay off the business loan in a couple of years. But you could still make a prediction. 

The most essential among these assumptions are the key assumptions. Potential investors require these details before deciding to invest. Financial support, clientele, and revenue development are examples of business strategy assumptions.

The three main examples of business assumptions that startup founders make are:

1. Customer Base

The bottom line of a successful business is its consumer base. From where do you get your sales? Would you be a “b2b” (business-to-business) or “b2c” (business-to-consumer) company? And what is your target audience? The next wave of digitalization has begun and has a strong customer base is oxygen. 

You should outline your client base with the greatest importance among the key assumptions in entrepreneurship. Yes, a specialty business can indeed be impactful. But you must demonstrate that there is still a sufficient client base to generate profit. You must also consider expanding into other market economies or to different segments of customers.

2. Business Finances

Do you have enough funding to maintain your business running till it becomes financially independent? How are you paying for rents, wages, insurance, product lines, and brand management?

Budget and financial estimates must be included in the business strategy. They can assist you in obtaining funds or persuade lenders that your company has a viable route to success. It does not, however, have to be done straight away. It takes a long time for a business to turn a profit.

The most common mistake they make is assuming sales would then assist retail operations on their own. Your organization will appeal more to funders if you already have sufficient resources to finance it until it breaks even.

3. Human Resources

You can’t do business unless you have enough human resources. As a result, this is a critical assumption that you must incorporate into each business strategy. 

Before applying for a loan and financial assistance, you must ensure that you possess the connectivity to skilled employees. After all, nobody wants to invest in businesses that can’t get it off the surface.

One of the riskiest assumptions for prospective startups is that they will have access to great talent. In reality, that talent may prefer working for a fully-funded technology firm than a startup. It is because it comes with a large salary and a successful track record. 

Thus, it’s crucial to keep a close eye on talent pools. So, make an effort to secure the right talent before investors meet.

How Can Startup Founders Verify Their Assumptions? And Why Is It Important?

You can adopt numerous approaches to test different assumptions. For example, a mockup working model, surveys, phony advertisements, personal interviews, etc. The assumptions and your business model determine the details of such experimental studies.

The best way to make timely improvements is to create a business assumptions worksheet. It also serves as a testing device. It confirms all of your assumptions and keeps you on the right track. This also prevents resource wastage.

A business owner should begin by examining the elements that must be true in order for the company to succeed. Thus, focus on your key business assumptions. Then, break down the larger ones into chunks and assess the assumptions in depth. 

Every decision should urge the businessman to proceed or alter direction by addressing a vital ambiguity. The major reason for this approach is to prioritize assumptions based on three criteria: consequences, possibility, and expense of settlement.

During the verification process of all assumptions, you have three options: to proceed, pivot, or cease. When you have no faulty assumptions, you should go forward with the idea. If an assumption is proven to be false, modify your strategy. If redirecting is no longer an option, look for new and better opportunities.

In Conclusion 

We’re all guilty of making assumptions. It affects our daily lives, from how we interact with people to making business strategies. Unfortunately, most people don’t give assumptions much thought. But, I feel that they have a high potential to drive personal and professional lives.  

If handled correctly, they hold the potential to guide you in the right direction by analyzing everything on the table and thus eliminating the path downhill. Moreover, fundraising becomes much easier when investors see the experiments you carried on to verify your assumptions. 

I’ve been working on refining my ability to analyze, question, and reinterpret my assumptions. As a result, I began to apply similar approaches to my startups, and they eventually produced outstanding outcomes.

In my opinion, successful startup founders know how to validate their assumptions. These are the folks who are willing to change their minds or abandon a project at the correct time. A worthy endeavor and a thoughtful entrepreneur who appropriately analyses themselves and their goals are the foundations of a successful business.

The Author Pravin Shah

Optimist. Believer. Entrepreneur. Founder @BigBrandTheory, Certified Change & Innovation Expert, ISB Hyderabad.

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